Prediksi Rilis USD Pasar Hari Ini — GO · 3 Agustus 2026
🎯 Next Major Release Prediction USD NEWS
Climate mixed: DXY ~99.8 soft · TNX ~4.75 naik · SPX risk-on · F&G 28 Fear. Fokus malam ini ISM Mfg, lalu paket tenaga kerja ADP → Claims → NFP. Prediksi ≠ Actual · ≠ sinyal entry · hormati gate ±30m.
Top predictions
1. 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI — Senin 21:00 WIB
Pred 54.8 · Cons 54.0 · Prev 53.3
Conf 58% · Bias Bullish USD · Impact High · Vol High
Base: Flash Mfg 55.3 beat + Chicago PMI 57.6
2. 📊 Nonfarm Payrolls — Jumat 19:30 WIB
Pred 105K · Cons 88K · Prev 57K
Conf 55% · Bias Bullish USD · Impact High · Vol High
Base: Claims 197K firm · rebound vs soft prior
3. 💼 ADP Non-Farm — Rabu 19:15 WIB
Pred 78K · Cons 71K · Prev 98K
Conf 48% · Bias Neutral · Impact Medium · Vol Med
Base: Cons cooling · ADP noisy vs NFP
4. 📉 Unemployment Claims — Kamis 19:30 WIB
Pred 202K · Cons 205K · Prev 197K
Conf 55% · Bias Bullish USD · Impact Medium · Vol Med
Base: mean-revert ringan dari 197K, masih dekat Cons
5. 🔥 Core CPI m/m — 12 Agu 19:30 WIB
Pred 0.3% · Cons n/a · Prev 0.4%
Conf 48% · Bias Bullish USD · Impact High · Vol High
Base: Core sticky · PCE soft counter · Cons pack tipis
🔎 Focus
- Malam ini ISM 21:00 — Sit On Hands 20:30–21:30 WIB
- Reaksi: Actual vs prediksi (bukan hanya vs consensus)
- NFP Jumat = paket UE + AHE — jangan trade buta di gate