Prediksi Rilis USD Pasar Hari Ini — GO · 2 Agustus 2026
🎯 Next Major Release Prediction USD NEWS
Minggu depan padat labor + ISM. Tape: DXY ~99.8 · yields ~4.74 · VIX tenang — growth masih berdiri, tapi ADP/NFP lean soft vs consensus. Prediksi ≠ Actual · ≠ sinyal entry. CPI Agustus masih n/a (consensus kosong).
Top predictions
1. 🏭 ISM Manufacturing PMI — Senin 3 Agu 21:00 WIB
Pred 54.6 · Cons 54.0 · Prev 53.3
Conf 58% · Bias Bullish USD · Impact High · Vol Med
Base: Chicago PMI 57.6 lead · DXY firm
2. 💼 ADP Non-Farm — Rabu 5 Agu 19:15 WIB
Pred 62K · Cons 71K · Prev 98K
Conf 55% · Bias Bearish USD · Impact High · Vol Med
Base: decelerate path · claims masih rendah
3. 🏭 ISM Services PMI — Rabu 5 Agu 21:00 WIB
Pred 54.3 · Cons 54.5 · Prev 54.0
Conf 56% · Bias Neutral · Impact High · Vol Med
Base: expansion holds near consensus
4. 📉 Unemployment Claims — Kamis 6 Agu 19:30 WIB
Pred 212K · Cons 205K · Prev 197K
Conf 57% · Bias Bearish USD · Impact High · Vol Med
Base: mean-revert dari print sub-200
5. 📊 Nonfarm Payrolls — Jumat 7 Agu 19:30 WIB
Pred 72K · Cons 88K · Prev 57K
Conf 54% · Bias Bearish USD · Impact Extreme · Vol High
Base: ADP soft lean · bukan collapse
🔎 Focus
- Hormati gate ±30m HIGH — Sit On Hands di print
- Reaksi: Actual vs prediksi (bukan hanya vs consensus)
- Weekend: FX+metals CLOSED — fokus crypto; labor week mulai Senin ISM